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September 04, 2005

Republican's Fiscal Mismanagement Threatens Disaster Response

Estimates of Katrina’s total damage vary, with the low end coming in around 25 billion and the high-end at 100 billion. The reality is we won’t know the actual total cost for some time, if ever. While some of this money will come from the private sector in the form of donations and insurance settlements, the federal government will be the insurer of last resort. While the right will proclaim this is some form of socialism, the reality is the government is always the de facto insurer of last resort as evidenced by the FDIC, the PBGC, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and a host of other agencies that have equal support from both parties. Therefore, it is imperative for the Federal Government to be in sound fiscal condition to provide this insurance. Unfortunately, Bush’s policies have left the federal government’s fiscal position in a pathetic situation, thereby hampering its overall effectiveness.

First, actual revenue coming into the government is in fact decreasing, despite the recent claims of rightwing economic mouthpieces (I would call them economists, but their reputation is already low enough). According to the Congressional Budget Office, receipts from individual income taxes have decreased 18% since 2001, from 994.3 billion in 2001 to 809 billion at the end of 2004. Corporate receipts have increased 25%, but that increase is misleading because total corporate receipts in 2004 were only 24% of the individual total receipts. Much smaller in total than individual and corporate receipts, estate and gift taxes decreased 14% over the same time, falling from 29 to 24.8 billion.

Over the same time period (2001-2004), the Republican controlled Congress increased discretionary spending 33%. The Defense Depart was the largest recipient, receiving a 48% increase in spending. Other domestic also increased 27% over the same period.

In other words, the Republicans have not only clearly violated their “fiscal conservatism” principles, they have once again increased total US debt. In 2001, the total amount of debt held by the public and governmental agencies was 5,807,463,412,200.06 on September 28, 2001. On September 1, 2005 the total amount of debt increased 27% to 7,929,658,283,890.28. The policy of tax cuts and a voluntary war – the classic guns and butter economic problem – have placed the country is dire financial straits from which payments for a foreseeable natural disaster will only increase the Republican created fiscal disaster.

And that is where the problem comes in. Because the government is the de facto insurer of last resort, it’s finances must be in good shape in order to be the insurer of last resort. If the US had a clean bill of fiscal health right now, the Treasury could go to the bond markets over the next few months and sell the needed debt to pay for Katrina’s damage. As it stands, the federal government’s position as insurer of last resort will simply increase its total debt to over 8 trillion dollars – roughly 70% of US GDP. Interest payments on the national debt are already one of the largest spending categories of the national budget. And they stand to increase.

In short, Katrina – a foreseeable and ill planned for national disaster – will also increase the US’ disastrous fiscal position. While it won’t take us over the brink, it does take us 1-step closer to the cliff’s edge.

Posted by Hale Stewart at September 4, 2005 03:31 PM | Permalink

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